The 57,325 billion outstanding in CDS Credit Default Swaps i.e. derivative bets (insurance) against a bond default will wreak havoc through 2009.
The outstanding CDS amount is so huge that even a 1% default may be too big to handle, think e.g. the auto industry GM et al representing 25% of the outstanding bonds.
A good article on:
http://www.bullionmark.com/2008/12/c...