ECU Value Analysis
posted on
Dec 14, 2008 03:12AM
Golden Minerals is a junior silver producer with a strong growth profile, listed on both the NYSE Amex and TSX.
Here is my old table updated for the latest NI 43-101:
ECU Price / Resource Value Analysis Tables
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Analysis Using Measured + Indicated + Inferred Resource
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NI43-101 Release Date
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12/10/2008
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1/24/2008
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6/30/2006
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7/25/2005
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NI43-101 Ag Equiv OZ (Mil)
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430.729
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216.636
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98.417
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23.676
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Data Point Comparison Date
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12/14/2008
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6/3/2008
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11/10/2006
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12/4/2005
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Shares Outstanding
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242,609,557
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242,609,557
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212,729,000
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175,413,000
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Silver Price
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$10.24
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$16.70
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$13.025
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$8.59
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Resource Value (Mil $)
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4,410.66
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$3,617.80
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$1,281.90
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$203.40
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Resource Value Per Share
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$18.18
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$14.91
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$6.03
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$1.16
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Share Price
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$0.812
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$1.44
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$2.90
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$0.40
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Value per oz Silver
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$0.457
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$1.61
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$6.27
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$2.96
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Resource / Market Cap
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22.39
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10.35
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2.08
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2.90
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Analysis Using Measured + Indicated + Inferred + Potential Resource
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NI43-101 Ag Equiv OZ (Mil)
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*1,826.33
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1,177.03
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145.417
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NA
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Resource Value ($Mil)
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$18,701.62
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$19,656.40
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$1,894.10
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NA
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Resource Value Per Share
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$77.08
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$81.02
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$8.90
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NA
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Value per oz Silver
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$0.108
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$0.297
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$4.24
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NA
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Resource / Market Cap
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94.93
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56.26
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3.07
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NA
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*Includes 50% increase of potential resource to include base metals.
My evaluation of this table is that ECU is currently 4 to 5 times undervalued based on MI+I and should be a $3 or $4 stock. When silver goes back up to $20 we should be $6 or $7 using a value of $3.50 per ounce MI+I.