more stuff from MIDAS tongiht and a real possibility
posted on
Sep 17, 2008 04:00PM
Golden Minerals is a junior silver producer with a strong growth profile, listed on both the NYSE Amex and TSX.
Silver force majeur by Christmas?
Bill,
The December silver Comex contract MUST rise dramatically in the next 90 days or else there WILL be a Comex default. Anybody going long the December contract at $11.00, and then stand for delivery can make about $25,000 per contract based on physical silver at $16 or more.(5000 oz. contract X $5 an ounce premium for physical) That would be plenty of dough to hire a Brinks truck to haul it out of a Comex warehouse to a safer location. This is in my opinion is the straw that will break the Comex back. Even if they drove the paper contract down to $7 you could still make money, after paper losses, taking delivery of the physical. I think this is the plan of the remaining strong-hand silver longs who haven't been shaken out. Traders looking for a basis trade have a home-run. I assure you if lumber futures were a 50% discount to cash lumber the EFP's (exchange for physical) would be off the chart. That is a no-brainer trade, go long, take delivery and make a fortune selling it into the cash market. But there again no lumber mill would ever tolerate futures at a 50% discount to cash. Unlike the goofy silver industry lumber mills dictate their own price, and not sell at a phony price concocted by banksters. Anybody adequately funded could just ignore Comex margin changes and keep their eye on the prize. I am not advocating this trading strategy, I'm merely pointing out what I think others will be doing.
This bizarre basis trade won't last for long. A force majeur would reveal the suppression fraud once and for all. Today's explosion will be mild compared to the day after force majeur. Bottom line, silver futures can't stay at a 50% or more discount to physical without catastrophic consequences for the Comex, and the cartel. Judging by the unprecedented breakout today I'd say we're witnessing a full-fledged panic into the metals. ETF holders should now be getting clued in to the value of owning real metal, and not anything AIG-backed or pooled in an uninsured fund. The 2% collar in gold didn't get just get taken out, today it got obliterated.
James Mc