Hunt Bros. Back In Silver?
posted on
Jun 18, 2008 05:40AM
Golden Minerals is a junior silver producer with a strong growth profile, listed on both the NYSE Amex and TSX.
Jason Hommel provides a few worthy updates on the silver ETF shorts, the Perth Mint, and rumours that the Hunt's Bros. have been sniffing around the silver pits again after a few decades.
The sector is heating up quickly - VHF
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Ted Butler reveals the scam of short selling the silver ETF. Ted came out with a blockbuster report on how the iShares Silver ETF is allowed to be naked shorted, which is an entirely new form of short selling silver.
http://www.investmentrarities.com/06...
That the silver ETF can be shorted is revolting. You can see the current short sales position here:
Nasdaq.com
Currently, with 256,000 shares sold short, that's worth 2.5 million ounces of silver.
A lot of people have trouble understanding the concept of a short sale. The way it's supposed to work is that a person will borrow shares from a broker, who is holding shares for clients who have agreed to let their broker lend out their shares. If you use a margin account, you have likely already agreed to let your broker borrow and lend out your shares. But it's not always done that way. Many times, the shares are sold short without borrowing, and in that case, the short position is said to be a naked short sale, as distinguished from a real short sale. But either way, this creates extra shares on the market which can put a downward pressure on the underlying security, as two or more people will think they own the same share. In come cases companies have reported proxy votes of up to 80 million votes when there are only 60 million shares outstanding, which creates problems.
So, since the silver ETF can be shorted, I'll explain it like this: Imagine a silver bank that operated with 100% integrity, with 100% precious metal backing of all the accounts for all clients. But then, they installed a back door in the vault, and let other people walk out with the bullion and replace it with a piece of paper that says "IOU".
That's not exactly the same, since no physical silver leaves the custodian when a short sale is made, but new customer accounts are made, and no silver is deposited when new investors buy the newly shorted shares. So it turns the silver ETF into a form of fractional reserve banking, all the same. So, to allow the silver ETF to be sold short circumvents the entire purpose of the ETF in the first place, unless the purpose all along was to create another way that silver could be sold short.
If you own shares of the silver ETF, I suggest you slowly sell your iShares for real silver. Don't do it all at once, because silver prices could move up 5-10% per day while you are waiting for your cash to clear and before you can find or get delivery of real silver.
There is another story I must share: the Hunts have sold Hunt Petroleum for $4.2 billion. There is speculation that they may buy silver again, and it would be poetic justice if they did it right this time, with no debt and no leverage. If they did, they could increase their fortune by ten times or more, and grow their wealth to be comparable to Bill Gates and Warren Buffett, or even surpass that.
http://arabianmoney.net/2008/06/12/w...
It is my belief that the reason the Hunts were blamed in the silver price run up to $50/oz. in 1980 is that their leveraged positions made them a target, and left them vulnerable, both financially and politically. But if they buy real silver, directly from refineries, before it ever gets to the COMEX, and pay for it in full, then they will have the full protection that silver offers. Their wealth would be anonymous, hidden, and not confiscable.
My advice to the Hunts is to buy real silver as fast as possible, without moving up the price more than 5-10% a week. They should send agents to the Penoles refinery in Mexico, or over to other refineries Peru, the top two silver producing nations in the world. Or event to Poland, another top silver producing nation. Or perhaps they should go to China. They should buy directly from the refineries listed here:
THE GOOD DELIVERY LIST OF ACCEPTABLE REFINERS: SILVER
http://www.lbma.org.uk/good_delivery...
Another thing the Hunts should consider this time is minting silver coinage, as close as possible to the cost. They should use their pool of silver, as a real pool, to help fill customer demand to drive the price up. The last time, they tried to issue silver bonds, but that's a failed and failing strategy. If they sell real silver, it will continue to put pressure on all who have sold short phantom silver that does not exist. I've considered doing that myself, but my own capitalization is barely sufficient, and I lack the needed time and help, and I'd rather focus on writing and investing in mining and exploration stocks for now.
Another story of silver shorts must be shared:
The Perth Mint story of delivery delays finally got some press at crikey.com.au. It's the third story down in the business section. You have to sign up to read the full story.
http://www.crikey.com.au/Business.html
http://www.crikey.com.au/Business/20...
Key Excerpts:
A storm appears to be brewing around The Perth Mint, with speculation that the Mint's precious metals pool has run dry. There have been recent reports from customers of delays or refusals from the Mint when making requests for the delivery of silver.
The Perth Mint Certificate Program allows customers to purchase precious metals without the burden of having to personally store them. However, dozens of customers have reported long delays or straight refusals from the Perth Mint when trying to physically collect their silver.
Currently the Mint has a precious metals liability of $880 million dollars, with $380 million going to subsidiaries to be used as an operating pool. With this much liability it seems inconceivable that the Mint could have run short of silver, and yet the signs seem to point to this. The Mint has told customers that there is no shortage, and that the delay is in production. But surely with an $880 million dollar operating pool they could ensure that production is completed on time.
If you own Perth Mint certificates, I suggest you slowly sell your certificates for real silver. Don't do it all at once, because silver prices could move up 5-10% per day while you are waiting for your cash to clear and before you can find or get delivery of real silver.