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Message: Comment from Gartman today on SEC letter

Comment from Gartman today on SEC letter

posted on Mar 31, 2008 09:14AM

The most important news over the weekend was of the

"letter" sent by the SEC to "public companies" late Friday

regarding SFAS 157 regarding "fair value measurements"

of assets on their books, and the news out of New

Zealand that consumer

confidence there had fallen to

a seventeen year low,

reflective we think of the

general malaise besetting the

West generally. Further, the

markets are going to spend

much of this week preparing

for Friday's US Employment

Situation Report for March

(more on that tomorrow,

Wednesday, et al).

Regarding "The Letter," our friend old friend, and far wiser

gentleman than we, Mr. Jim Bianco, sent us a note

Saturday morning telling us of a letter sent by the SEC to

the CFO's of "certain public companies" that appears for

all the world to end FASB 157 (now referred to as SFAS

157... The Statement of Financial Accounting Standards

as compared to) and mark-to-market accounting. The

entire letter needn't be reported here; on that which is

important need be, and it is the 2nd paragraph of the

letter, which reads

Fair value assumes the exchange of assets or

liabilities in orderly transactions. Under SFAS

157, it is appropriate for you to consider actual

market prices, or observable inputs, even when

the market is less liquid than historical market

volumes, unless those prices are the result ofa forced liquidation or distress sale. Only

when actual market prices, or relevant

observable inputs, are not available is it

appropriate for you to use unobservable

inputs which reflect your assumptions of

what market participants would use in pricing

the asset or liability
[Ed Note: Emphasis ours].

Current market conditions may require you to use

valuation models that require significant

unobservable inputs for some of your assets and

liabilities. As a consequence, as of January 1,

2008, you will classify these assets and liabilities

as Level 3 measurements under SFAS 157.

We've read and re-read and re-read again this letter.

We've considered it; re-considered it, and re-considered.

We've asked friends in the business for their take, and

after two days we've come to the conclusion that

mark-to-market has quietly died with this letter, and with it

transparency in financial accounting.

What the SEC has decided is that the only method to cure

the ills that face the nation's banks, broking firms, hedge

funds, real estate financing groups et al is time... time and

the ability to take a breath; to stop the mandatory

marking-down of assets held by one organisation as

another is forced into liquidation holding those same

assets. The SEC is stating for the record that the

immediate marking-down of assets will end with an

eventual marking-back-up of those same assets

sometime into the future, and rather than create

accounting mayhem now, let us hope that time does heal

all wounds. The SEC, it seems to us, is remembering

how it was that Citigroup was effectively insolvent back in

the early 90's just before Sheikh Walid bin Talal bought

his huge stake in the bank, and that had mark-to-market

accounting been the order of the day then, the bank

would have been insolvent. But time passed; the banks

loans proved of some longer term merit; time restored the

balance sheet to health and the problems of the day

proved ephemeral.

The SEC is taking another pragmatic view of things,

noting that the times are precarious; that a large number

of those who report to it are in rather dire straits and that

"time" needs to be bought for them rather than further

pressure be brought upon them. There will be many who

will argue that this is a horrid decision; that

mark-to-market has proven to be the best of all worlds

regarding transparency; that the man behind the curtain

really isn't "The Great and Powerful Oz" we thought him

to be, and that the harsh reality of daylight needed to be,

is not and should in the future be shined upon these

investments. Normally, we would be amongst that crowd

yelling our assent quite vehemently. But just as in the

Fed's recent decision to accept any and all collateral for

borrowing at the various "windows" it has opened,

pragmatism trumps all else in this instance. The SEC is

quietly saying that there may be a time in the future when

strict adherence to SFAS 157 shall again be meet and

right, that time is not the present time.

Now the question becomes, who is the beneficiary and

what will the capital markets think of all of this. Our first

inclination is to believe that the nation's banks just got a

holiday from fear. Our second inclination is to believe the

same. Our third inclination is to believe that others will

say that this is "smoke and mirrors" and that the banks

are doomed because confusion shall reign. We are open

to suggestions.... obviously!

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