Comment from Gartman today on SEC letter
posted on
Mar 31, 2008 09:14AM
Golden Minerals is a junior silver producer with a strong growth profile, listed on both the NYSE Amex and TSX.
The most important news over the weekend was of the
"letter" sent by the SEC to "public companies" late Friday
regarding SFAS 157 regarding "fair value measurements"
of assets on their books, and the news out of New
Zealand that consumer
confidence there had fallen to
a seventeen year low,
reflective we think of the
general malaise besetting the
West generally. Further, the
markets are going to spend
much of this week preparing
for Friday's US Employment
Situation Report for March
(more on that tomorrow,
Wednesday, et al).
Regarding "The Letter," our friend old friend, and far wiser
gentleman than we, Mr. Jim Bianco, sent us a note
Saturday morning telling us of a letter sent by the SEC to
the CFO's of "certain public companies" that appears for
all the world to end FASB 157 (now referred to as SFAS
157... The Statement of Financial Accounting Standards
as compared to) and mark-to-market accounting. The
entire letter needn't be reported here; on that which is
important need be, and it is the 2nd paragraph of the
letter, which reads
Fair value assumes the exchange of assets or
liabilities in orderly transactions. Under SFAS
157, it is appropriate for you to consider actual
market prices, or observable inputs, even when
the market is less liquid than historical market
volumes, unless those prices are the result ofa forced liquidation or distress sale. Onlywhen actual market prices, or relevant
observable inputs, are not available is it
appropriate for you to use unobservable
inputs which reflect your assumptions of
what market participants would use in pricing
the asset or liability [Ed Note: Emphasis ours].Current market conditions may require you to use
valuation models that require significant
unobservable inputs for some of your assets and
liabilities. As a consequence, as of January 1,
2008, you will classify these assets and liabilities
as Level 3 measurements under SFAS 157.
We've read and re-read and re-read again this letter.
We've considered it; re-considered it, and re-considered.
We've asked friends in the business for their take, and
after two days we've come to the conclusion that
mark-to-market has quietly died with this letter, and with it
transparency in financial accounting.
What the SEC has decided is that the only method to cure
the ills that face the nation's banks, broking firms, hedge
funds, real estate financing groups et al is time... time and
the ability to take a breath; to stop the mandatory
marking-down of assets held by one organisation as
another is forced into liquidation holding those same
assets. The SEC is stating for the record that the
immediate marking-down of assets will end with an
eventual marking-back-up of those same assets
sometime into the future, and rather than create
accounting mayhem now, let us hope that time does heal
all wounds. The SEC, it seems to us, is remembering
how it was that Citigroup was effectively insolvent back in
the early 90's just before Sheikh Walid bin Talal bought
his huge stake in the bank, and that had mark-to-market
accounting been the order of the day then, the bank
would have been insolvent. But time passed; the banks
loans proved of some longer term merit; time restored the
balance sheet to health and the problems of the day
proved ephemeral.
The SEC is taking another pragmatic view of things,
noting that the times are precarious; that a large number
of those who report to it are in rather dire straits and that
"time" needs to be bought for them rather than further
pressure be brought upon them. There will be many who
will argue that this is a horrid decision; that
mark-to-market has proven to be the best of all worlds
regarding transparency; that the man behind the curtain
really isn't "The Great and Powerful Oz" we thought him
to be, and that the harsh reality of daylight needed to be,
is not and should in the future be shined upon these
investments. Normally, we would be amongst that crowd
yelling our assent quite vehemently. But just as in the
Fed's recent decision to accept any and all collateral for
borrowing at the various "windows" it has opened,
pragmatism trumps all else in this instance. The SEC is
quietly saying that there may be a time in the future when
strict adherence to SFAS 157 shall again be meet and
right, that time is not the present time.
Now the question becomes, who is the beneficiary and
what will the capital markets think of all of this. Our first
inclination is to believe that the nation's banks just got a
holiday from fear. Our second inclination is to believe the
same. Our third inclination is to believe that others will
say that this is "smoke and mirrors" and that the banks
are doomed because confusion shall reign. We are open
to suggestions.... obviously!