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Message: Rating Agency Shenanigans

Rating Agency Shenanigans

posted on Feb 26, 2008 10:24AM

Mike Shedlock put together a good article today exposing the highly suspicious activities associated with rating agencies and their infamous rating scales.  Jim Cramer made a good comment on this fiasco yesterday when he decribed it as the "insured are now insuring the insurers."  Another comment made on a respected blog stated, "Since when do triple A rated companies require massive bail-outs?"

Regards - VHF 


Mike Shedlock

February 26, 2008

MBIA Maintains Highest Rating, Pfizer Cut

Let's compare the financials of two stocks: MBIA (MBI) which has Moody's top rating of Aaa and Pfizer (PFE) recently downgraded by Moody's to Aa1 and by Fitch to AA-Plus from AAA. 

Pfizer Financials

 

MBIA Financials

What is Moody’s rating scale?

Moody's Rating Scale
runs from a high of Aaa to a low of C, and comprises 21 notches. It is divided into two sections, investment grade and speculative grade. The lowest investment grade rating is Baa3. The highest speculative-grade rating is Ba1.

Long-Term Debt Ratings (maturities of one year or more):

Investment Grade
Aaa – “gilt edged”
Aa1, Aa2, Aa3 – high-grade
A1, A2, A3 – upper-medium grade
Baa1, Baa2, Baa3 – medium grade

Speculative Grade
Ba1, Ba2, Ba3 – speculative elements
B1, B2, B3 – lack characteristics of a desirable investment
Caa1, Caa2, Caa3 – bonds of poor standing
Ca – highly speculative
C – lowest rating, extremely poor prospects of attaining any real investment standing

Compare Financials

  • Profit margin -61.76% vs. +17.07%
  • Return on Equity -35.54% vs. +12.13%
  • Revenue $3.12 Billion vs. $48.61 Billion
  • Earnings Per Share -$15.22 vs. +$1.20
  • Total Cash $5.73 Billion vs. $20.30 Billion
  • Total Debt $17.44 Billion vs. $8.69 Billion

Do the finacials of MBIA look "gilt edged"?

Heck, do they look investment grade at all?

Is there any other way to interpret the above ratings other than incompetence or corruption? If there is, can someone please tell me what it is?

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