Juniors getting more respect with Insitu value average climbing to $59 per ounce
posted on
Feb 26, 2012 12:45PM
New Discovery Resulting in a 20KM Mineralized Gold Belt
Based on this info from:
http://www.stockhouse.com/Columnists/2012/Feb/24/Gold-junior-average-up-7-8--to-$59-oz---Stockhouse
If we have a RE of 500k ounces, we would have a market cap of 29.5M dollars. At a fully diluted share float of 157M shares, that gives us a value of 19 cents per share. This does seem low to me but it is what it is. However, the $59 per ounce is an average only and things like being in Quebec, near infrastructure and our ore showing excellent recoveries justifies a higher value IMO. I just do not know what that value is but it is safe to say we should command a higher value per ounce.
Just for shits and giggles as my brother in law would say, here some some various scenarios:
60 | 70 | 80 | 90 | 100 | 200 | ||
500,000 | $ 0.19 | $ 0.22 | $ 0.25 | $ 0.29 | $ 0.32 | $ 0.63 | |
600,000 | $ 0.23 | $ 0.27 | $ 0.30 | $ 0.34 | $ 0.38 | $ 0.76 | |
700,000 | $ 0.27 | $ 0.31 | $ 0.36 | $ 0.40 | $ 0.44 | $ 0.89 | |
800,000 | $ 0.30 | $ 0.36 | $ 0.41 | $ 0.46 | $ 0.51 | $ 1.01 | |
900,000 | $ 0.34 | $ 0.40 | $ 0.46 | $ 0.51 | $ 0.57 | $ 1.14 | |
1,000,000 | $ 0.38 | $ 0.44 | $ 0.51 | $ 0.57 | $ 0.63 | $ 1.27 | |
3,000,000 | 1.14 | 1.33 | 1.52 | 1.71 | 1.90 | 3.80 |
With this scenario, assuming that our In-Situe justifies $80 an ounce which I believe is fair for all GNH offers, a 500k resource, justifies a share price of 25 cents per share on a fully diluted basis. If we hit well at the 88 zone and Champagne area and move towards a 1M ounce resource, then I think we would be justified at a $100 per ounce In Situe and that would give us 63 cents per share, again fully diluted.
I included $200 in situe value but this would be under a buyout scenario only...unless gold climbs substantially from our current price.
Hope this helps keep it real.
Glorieux