Re: PDAC Thread - Cycle Turn Dates/Armstrong/Trip... Waterfall
in response to
by
posted on
Mar 05, 2012 10:40AM
Saskatchewan's SECRET Gold Mining Development.
Cycle Turn Dates
Phi Mate turn, Fibonacci Cluster, Bradley Model turn date, Spring Equinox, Periodic turn date, Elliot Wave Grand Super Cycle, oh my! Cycle turn date mentioned is March 8.
http://www.safehaven.com/article/24591/four-cycle-turns-warn-of-a-top-in-march-2012
Armstrong Economics
While recent pi-cycle turn dates have been inauspicious to say the least in recent years, Armstrong Economics has a very short term outlook for the 10-year U.S. treasury price chart. The pi-cycle turn date which called the top in the BKX was Feb. 27, 2007 exactly.
But a major rally returned equity indeces to their historical high and oil prices to unheard-of prices afterwards. Market conditions look the same in 2012 as they did in 2007 - 2008, with oil prices surging and equities rebounding.
Calls for a 20-point drop in price in treasuries. Since the 10-year chart looks identical to the 30-year U.S. treasury bond price, then the drop will probably be similar in the long- dated bond.
(??? Note: Both indicators are saying that bonds as well as equities are set for a concomittant decline in prices. Bond prices might decline first leading to a rally in equities, which peters out later in the year. An unwatched forex price decline in the U.S. dollar vs. all currencies may also occur.)
-F6