OT: Trade opportunity for silver
posted on
Dec 07, 2013 09:07PM
ONE COUNTRY, ONE METAL
Some of the biggest, most profitable trades only come around once every thirty years or so and we think this may be one of them. Why do we think we have spotted a massive trading opportunity?
The Precedent: Note the chart and comments below:
The above chart measures the price of gold in many currencies and indexes; each one at its long term twenty five plus year breakout price indexed to 100. This makes the gold price and breakout point easy to compare when priced in each currency. You will also notice:
The above chart simply zooms in on the first chart to help us see:
Similar Setup: Now let’s look at Silver:
Let us note the similarities in the Silver chart to the Gold setup:
In other words, the multi decade resistance setup that propelled gold from $850 to $1900 may be setting up the same way for silver. To drive home our point and to crystallize our message, please review the next few charts:
Note the similarities between the silver chart above and the setup in gold which resulted in a huge price advance (chart below).
In these charts we can clearly see the metal’s priced in two currencies breaking long term resistance in advance of the US dollar price. Then the metals priced in US dollars hit the long term resistance and bounce off. Eventually the US dollar price of gold follows the others to significantly higher levels.
In our opinion the silver and gold bull market is alive and well, and silver may be in for an explosion in the coming months / years. If the price of silver were to follow the setup in gold we would see silver rocket well past $50 an ounce.
However it can be difficult to invest long term if an investor gets caught with significant short term losses and ends up selling in fear