Jim Sinclair’s Commentary

Another tidbit from Alf Fields:

Commentary From Alf Fields:

Major ONE up from $256 to $1,015 (actually 4 times the $255 low);

Major TWO down from $1015 to $699, say $700 (a decline of 31%);

Major THREE up from $700 to $3,500 (a Fibonacci 5 times the $700 low);

Major FOUR down from $3,500 to $2,500 (a 29% decline);

Major FIVE up from $2,500 to $10,000 (also a 4 fold increase, same as ONE)

We have already blown through waves one and two. Wave three is projecting out to $3500 and wave 5 to $10,000 for an ounce of gold. This is the point. Last year we had a $400 billion deficit. Next year we will have a $2.5 trillion deficit and in the next four years a minimum of $10 trillion deficit. It is not hard now to see why the price of gold would go to $10,000 per ounce.

What this means is that the Federal government will burn the house down printing dollars which will lose value at a dizzying rate. Conveniently, this unbridled printing will allow the US government to pay all its bills domestically and to foreign holdings by simply printing away debt. This will also have a massively negative impact on all our creditor nations. I would not be surprised if they ended up in far worse shape than us.

We have seen it time after time when a big debtor runs its creditors into the ground and ends up smelling like a rose. This is most likely what will happen to the US although the citizenry will also go through some real tough times.

What to do? Find those asset classes which will hold their value during this process. It sounds ridiculous, but it is that simple and you will prosper.

Elliott Wave Gold Update 23
By Alf Field Dec 2 2008 10:39AM
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