I hate to be perceived as negative but I refuse to stick my head in the sand when our reality has been so bleak for the past few years. Not just with CUU, but the macro picture. There's a new article on SH based on a Scotia Capital report reflecting just how tough things have been recently. It will turn around sometime, of course, but it's always a question of how long.
25% of global copper miners are bleeding red ink
Nearly a quarter of the world's major copper mines are running in the red, even after producers including Codelco and
BHP Billiton Ltd. (
NYSE: BHP,
Stock Forum) engage in their deepest cost-cutting in years, according to a Reuters analysis that was also posted in a Scotia Capital report.
A 17-percent slump since last July has pushed copper futures on the London Metals Exchange to under $6,000 a tonne, the lowest since 2009, is the first major test of producers' margins since the global economic crisis, forcing a new reckoning after five years of relatively consistent profitability.
Codelco, the Chilean state miner that produces about 8 percent of the world's copper, will review the cost reduction plan at its Salvador mine as it prepares to restart operations there after torrential rains shuttered the complex in March, said a source close to the state-run miner. The company has an ambitious target to slash total costs by as much as $1 billion this year.
Salvador produced copper at a cost of some $11,439 per tonne in the fourth quarter last year, the highest out of 91 mines analyzed by Thomson Reuters unit GFMS as part of its Copper Mine Economics database. The mines account for more than two-thirds of global output, and almost a quarter of them had production costs late last year above current prices.
The GFMS analysis, which is based on quarterly and semi-annual filings by 26 mining companies, gives the deepest insight yet into the voracious pace of cost-cutting by miners late last year as the sell-off in copper quickened, a hot topic at CRU Copper's conference in Santiago this week.
In the final three months of last year, the industry's total costs on average fell by 6 percent to $4,426 per tonne quarter-on-quarter, the lowest since late 2013, GFMS said.