Couple of numbers re Reserves
posted on
Jul 03, 2008 02:59AM
Identify, Focus, Develop.
I have done a preliminary estimation what this reserves could have as value per share. Comments are welcome!!
Assumptions | ||
Reserves (million barrels) | 1,000 | 2,000 |
Recovery Rate (%) | 10% | |
Oil Price ($) | 140.0 | |
Profit per barrel (as % of oil price) | 14.0 | 10% |
Exchange Rate (CAD/$) | 1.01 | |
Diluted NOSH (million) | 402.2 |
|
|
Reserves (million barrels) |
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|
3.5 |
500 |
750 |
1,000 |
1,250 |
1,500 |
1,750 |
2,000 |
Recovery Rate (%) |
2.5% |
0.44 |
0.66 |
0.88 |
1.10 |
1.32 |
1.54 |
1.76 |
5.0% |
0.88 |
1.32 |
1.76 |
2.20 |
2.64 |
3.08 |
3.52 |
|
7.5% |
1.32 |
1.98 |
2.64 |
3.30 |
3.96 |
4.62 |
5.28 |
|
10.0% |
1.76 |
2.64 |
3.52 |
4.40 |
5.28 |
6.16 |
7.04 |
|
12.5% |
2.20 |
3.30 |
4.40 |
5.50 |
6.60 |
7.70 |
8.80 |
|
15.0% |
2.64 |
3.96 |
5.28 |
6.60 |
7.92 |
9.24 |
10.56 |
|
17.5% |
3.08 |
4.62 |
6.16 |
7.70 |
9.24 |
10.78 |
12.33 |
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Note: Output Sheet is the reserves potential per share in CAD |
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Reserves (million barrels) |
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|
3.5 |
500 |
750 |
1,000 |
1,250 |
1,500 |
1,750 |
2,000 |
Oil Price ($) |
80 |
1.01 |
1.51 |
2.01 |
2.52 |
3.02 |
3.52 |
4.02 |
100 |
1.26 |
1.89 |
2.52 |
3.14 |
3.77 |
4.40 |
5.03 |
|
120 |
1.51 |
2.26 |
3.02 |
3.77 |
4.53 |
5.28 |
6.04 |
|
140 |
1.76 |
2.64 |
3.52 |
4.40 |
5.28 |
6.16 |
7.04 |
|
160 |
2.01 |
3.02 |
4.02 |
5.03 |
6.04 |
7.04 |
8.05 |
|
180 |
2.26 |
3.40 |
4.53 |
5.66 |
6.79 |
7.92 |
9.06 |
|
200 |
2.52 |
3.77 |
5.03 |
6.29 |
7.55 |
8.80 |
10.06 |
|
|
Note: Output Sheet is the reserves potential per share in CAD |