Breakwater Resources Ltd.'s 2011 Guidance
posted on
Dec 06, 2010 07:20PM
Development and mining of base metal and precious metal deposits in the Americas.
 TORONTO, ONTARIO -- (MARKET WIRE) -- 12/06/10 --    Breakwater Resources Ltd. (TSX: BWR)(TSX: BWR.WT.A) provides information related to Langlois' reopening and guidance for 2011. In accordance with the Company's strategic plan, one of management's  objectives is to optimize the Company's current assets. Accordingly, the  2011 operating plans have been developed to achieve strong, stable,  sustainable operations from which to grow as well as to prepare Langlois  for production in the first quarter of 2012. The Company plans  continued investment in new and ongoing initiatives to improve  efficiency at each site and to mitigate identified risks. Langlois Re-opening A long-term plan has been developed that is based on mining and  processing only the proven and probable reserves at a rate of up to  600,000 tonnes per annum. The following table shows the total forecast  production for years one through 10. For the December 31, 2009 mineral reserves estimates,  metal prices, including premiums, used to determine economic viability  for Grevet B, Zones 3, 4 and 97 at Langlois were US$1.00/lb. zinc, C$/US$ exchange rate of 1.12, US$700/oz. gold, US$12.55/oz. silver, US$2.66/lb. copper and US$0.83/lb.  lead. The metal prices used represent the approximate historical five  year average for each metal from 2005 to 2009. Only metal prices for  zinc, copper and silver were used to determine the NSR value of the  various blocks. A cut-off NSR value of $85.00 per tonne has been used for all zones, including Grevet B. A financial model has been prepared based on the metal prices,  currencies and treatment and refining charges listed in the table set  forth below. Projected total operating results for years one through 10 are summarized in the table set forth below. Up-to-date operating costs have been included to reflect increased costs of labour and consumables. The long-term plan is sensitive to metal prices, exchange rates, operating and capital costs, grade and smelter charges. The operating scenario depicted in the Projected Operating Results table indicates that all future capital will be paid back. The Langlois mine has a major mineralized system comprising zones of  many types and sizes, often of exceptional grade. The current property  mineral reserves provide an estimated mine life of approximately ten  years if production is limited to the currently known areas. Sufficient  additional tonnages are contained in the measured, indicated and  inferred resource categories to increase substantially the current mine  life, however, exploration work must be conducted in the near future to  determine the extent to which these mineral resources can be upgraded to  mineable tonnages and to ensure these areas are developed for mining  within the time frame of the current mine plan. Historically, a consistent and committed funding level for exploration  programs resulted in successful identification of additional mineral  reserves and resources and consequently added to the life of the mine.  There is potential to upgrade mineral resources and identify new  deposits. In its first twelve months of production, the Company expects metal  contained in concentrate from Langlois to consist of 46,000 tonnes of  zinc, 2,600 tonnes of copper and 451,000 ounces of silver. The operating  costs per tonne milled on a production basis at Langlois in the first  twelve months are expected to fall in the range of C$86 to C$100 per tonne. 2011 Guidance Capital Expenditures In 2011, the Company plans to spend $92.1 million on capital consisting of: $23.7 million at Mochito; $15.1 million at Toqui; $21.3 million at Myra Falls; and, $32.0 million at Langlois. Langlois Langlois accounts for approximately 35% of the capital budget. The $32.0 million planned for Langlois in 2011 consists of $9.6 million for deferred development, $8.7 million for mill, mine and other infrastructure capital, $1.5 million in capitalized definition drilling and $12.0 million of capitalized preproduction operating costs. The $9.6 million of deferred development comprises 3,100 metres of development in waste and 1,100 metres of development in ore. Mochito Of the $23.7 million capital expenditures planned at Mochito in 2011, $11.1 million  relates to upgrading the electrical infrastructure by replacing a  diesel generator and some transformers and adding in-mine hydro  generating capacity. The dam at the Soledad tailings impoundment area is  expected to be raised in 2011 at a cost of $3.5 million and $5.3 million is planned for mine development. Myra Falls At Myra Falls, of the $21.3 million capital expenditures planned, the major items include $7.0 million for mobile equipment, $2.7 million for mill equipment to improve efficiency, $8.0 million for underground development and $1.0 million for a hydro dam raise. Toqui At Toqui, the major capital items planned include $5.0 million for mine development, $1.4 million for a filtered tailings disposal area, $1.7 million for extensional drilling, $2.3 million for million equipment and upgrades, $2.1 million for mine equipment and infrastructure, $0.9 million for power optimization and $1.3 million for safety, environmental and administrative purposes. Of the $15.1 million to be spent in the year, approximately 75% of the total is expected to be spent in the first half of the year. Production The Company's projected metals production for 2011 is set forth in the following table: Estimates of production are subject to change and actual production may vary materially from such estimates. There are numerous uncertainties inherent in estimating anticipated  production including many factors beyond the control of the Company.  While production forecasts are soundly engineered and detailed, the  accuracy of any such estimates is a function of the quality of available  data, reliability of production history, variability of grade  encountered, mechanical, environmental, social or other issues,  engineering and geological interpretation and operator judgment. Rates  of production may be more or less than anticipated. Results of drilling,  metallurgical testing and production, and the evaluation of mine plans  subsequent to the date of any estimate may cause actual production to  vary materially from such estimates. For these reasons we will provide  updated guidance only when production of contained metal varies from  previous guidance by a significant margin. Costs The operating costs, on a production basis, at each mine are estimated to fall in the ranges set forth below: Operating costs at Mochito are expected to be higher due largely to  higher power costs and increased wages from a new contract currently  being negotiated. The benefits of the upgraded electrical systems have  not been reflected in the 2011 production costs. At Toqui, operating costs are expected to rise due to the paste plant  processing and paste delivery system costs, an increase in base wages  following the settlement of the new labour agreement in October 2010 and a major maintenance and supply process review (collectively estimated at US$9  per tonne). The 2011 mine plan at Toqui assumes commissioning of the  paste plant and the ball mill are successfully completed. Due to  equipment availability issues experienced in 2010, in 2011 Toqui plans  to complete a maintenance and supply chain efficiency maximization  program. The cost of the program is reflected in the cost per tonne  milled; however, the expected operating efficiency benefits have not  been reflected in the 2011 costs. At Myra Falls, the major assumed cost increases relate to higher diesel usage and the full year impact of the 2010 workforce increase. Exploration The Company expects to spend $7.5 million on exploration  expenses in 2010 with the objective of increasing the mineral resources  (both measured and indicated and inferred) at Mochito in Honduras and at Toqui in Chile as well as meeting the Company's obligations under various joint venture agreements in Quebec, Canada. The current forecast of exploration expenses is set forth in the following table. Metal Price Assumptions The metal prices assumed for internal purposes for 2011 were US$0.80/pound zinc, US$2.75/pound copper, US$0.75/pound lead, US$925/ounce gold, US$16.00/ounce  silver and a C$/US$ exchange rate of parity. The metal prices used are  meant to set operating parameters for the operations and therefore  should not to be construed as the Company's expectations of metal  prices. Key Assumptions Sales The Company's Canadian dollar ("C$") gross sales revenues are affected  by the metals prices received and the exchange rate between the US$ and  C$. With the current volatility in the markets, including the effect of  government stimuli and interest rate decisions, it is difficult to  forecast metal prices or exchange rates. SENSITIVITY TO METAL PRICES AND EXCHANGE RATES The Company's cash flow and net earnings are sensitive to movements in  the price of zinc, lead, copper, silver and gold and to the C$/US$  exchange rate. The following table provides the Company's estimates of  the sensitivity of C$ cash flow to changes in the various metal prices  and C$/US$ exchange rate movements based on the projections for 2011.  The table assumes that all other prices and/or the exchange rate are  held constant.Forecast Production: Years 1 - 10
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  Milled Tonnes                                                   5,096,000
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Head Grades
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  Zinc                                                                  9.7%
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  Copper                                                                0.7%
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  Silver                                                             45 g/t
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Mill Recoveries
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  Zinc                                                                 93.5%
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  Copper                                                               80.0%
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Concentrate Production
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  Zinc (tonnes)                                                     852,500
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  Copper (tonnes)                                                   130,200
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Contained Metal
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  Zinc (tonnes)                                                     460,300
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  Copper (tonnes)                                                    26,700
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  Silver (ounces)                                                 4,046,000
----------------------------------------------------------------------------Long-Term Pricing Assumptions
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Commodity Prices
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 Zinc                                      US$/t / US$/lb.      2,205 / 1.00
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 Copper                                    US$/t / US$/lb.      5,864 / 2.66
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 Silver                                            US$/oz.             12.55
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Exchange Rate                                       C$/US$              1.12
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Treatment Charges
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    Zinc                                             US$/t               204
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    Copper                                           US$/t                50
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    Refining Charge (Copper)                  US cents/lb.              0.07
----------------------------------------------------------------------------Projected Operating Results: Years 1 - 10
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Milled Tonnes                                        000t             5,096
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Payable Metal
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 Zinc                                             000 lb.           862,648
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 Copper                                           000 lb.            55,960
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 Silver                                           000 oz.             3,720
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Smelter Revenue                                C$millions             1,186
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Smelter Treatment                              C$millions              (232)
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Transportation                                 C$millions               (85)
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Operating Cost                                 C$millions              (471)
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Operating Cash Flow                            C$millions               397
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Mining Tax                                     C$millions                (2)
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Capital                                        C$millions              (115)
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Cash Flow                                      C$millions               280
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Cash Cost                          (US$/lb. payable zinc)             $0.54
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Operating Cost                         (per tonne milled)            $92.51
----------------------------------------------------------------------------Metal in Concentrate(1)
(contained)                   Mochito        Toqui   Myra Falls        Total
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Zinc (tonnes)                  29,400       31,100       34,500       95,000
Copper (tonnes)                     -            -        3,900        3,900
Lead (tonnes)                  15,100          600            -       15,700
Gold (ounces)                       -       41,800        9,700       51,500
Silver (ounces)             1,595,000      158,000      546,000    2,300,000
(1) Metal contained in concentrate is before smelting deductions which,
    based on industry-wide practices, are approximately 15% for zinc, 1% for
    copper and 5% for lead. The actual smelting deductions negotiated by the
    Company may vary from the industry standards depending on a number of
    factors.Production Costs
per tonne milled)
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Mochito                                                        US$60 - US$67
Toqui                                                          US$64 - US$75
Myra Falls                                                     C$120 - C$135Exploration Expenses ($ millions)                              2011 Guidance
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Mochito                                                                  2.1
Toqui                                                                    2.0
Quebec                                                                   3.4
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                                                                         7.5
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Variable                                          Change          (millions)
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Zinc                                US10 cents per pound               $14.6
Lead                                US10 cents per pound                $2.6
Copper                              US20 cents per pound                $1.6
Silver                                    US$1 per ounce                $1.4
Gold                                     US$20 per ounce                $0.8
Exchange rate                            C$/US$ 10 cents                $7.1Contacts:
Breakwater Resources Ltd.
Ann Wilkinson
Vice President, Investor Relations
416-363-4798 Ext. 277
AWilkinson@breakwater.ca