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Message: From recent "Economic Straight Talk" ..... Ian Campbell

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Corporate: Recent mining company writedowns

I was asked yesterday, based on my business valuation consulting background, for my views on mining company writedowns following recent announcements by:

  • Barrick Gold Corp. on February 14 that it was taking a writedown of U.S.$4.2 billion, mostly related to its Zambian Lumwana copper mine which it acquired pursuant to the acquisition of Equinox Minerals Ltd. in 2011;
  • Cliffs Natural Resources Inc. who announced on January 24 that it was taking a goodwill writedown of U.S.$1 billion pursuant to the acquisition of Consolidated Thompson Iron Mines Ltd in early 2011;
  • Kinross Gold Corporation on February 13 that it was taking a writedown of $3.2 billion, mostly related to its Tasiast gold mine (located in Mauritania) which it acquired pursuant to the acquisition of Red Back Mining Inc. in 2010; and,
  • Rio Tinto on January 17 that it was taking a writedown of about U.S.$14 billion. Of the U.S.$14 billion about U.S.$11 billion was attributed to its aluminum assets, and about U.S.$3 billion that was attributed to a coal 'deal' in Mozambique.

The questions asked of me were;

  • what do these writedowns mean to the mining industry?;
  • do these sorts of announcements worry investors?; and,
  • are all writedowns created equal, or are some more worrisome than others?

I have read 'journalist write-ups' of each of the four referenced transactions (see article links). I have not analyzed any of the referenced transactions either before or after they closed. Subject to those caveats, my overview observations are:

  • first, as best I can determine, all the referenced transactions were made between arm's length parties ..... read more

Italy: Election results spell trouble ahead

Italy is a parliamentary, democratic Republic. It just held a general election that produced no clear winner. The centre-left headed by Pier Luigi Bersani is reported to have won the Lower House of Parliament. However, there was no clear winner in the Upper House Senate. The anti-establishment Five Star Movement headed by Beppe Grillo, a 'comedian, actor, blogger and politican' is said ..... read more

Slovenia: Headed toward bailout?

Slovenia is a small country measured by GDP (U.S.$50 billion in 2011, making it the 14th largest (or 4th from smallest) of the current 17 eurozone countries. A general election is scheduled for tomorrow, February 27, when current centre-left opposition party leader Alenka Bratusek is expected ..... read more

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