APPLE Getting tempting >>
posted on
Jan 28, 2013 08:15PM
We may not make much money, but we sure have a lot of fun!
What are we looking for?
The U.S. stocks that analysts expect to generate the highest returns over the next year.
The screen
Last week, Craig McGee, senior consultant at Morningstar Canada, provided us with a fascinating look at the Canadian stocks for which analysts have the highest expectations. Today, he extends his search south of the border.
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Using Morningstar’s CPMS market database, he compiled analysts’ price targets for S&P 500 stocks over the next 12 months. He then compared the analysts’ consensus forecasts with the stocks’ current prices to determine the percentage gains implied by the target prices. He added in expected dividend yields to get a forecast total return for each stock over the next 12 months.
He listed the top 25 expected total returns in the accompanying table. To ensure adequate diversification, he imposed a limit of no more than five stocks from any single sector.
More about Morningstar
Morningstar Inc. provides independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia and Asia. Its investment research tool, Morningstar CPMS, provides quantitative North American equity research and portfolio analysis to institutional clients and financial advisers. CPMS data cover more than 95 per cent of the investable North American stock market.
What we found
Forget Apple Inc.’s recent swoon. Analysts still expect great things from the Cupertino, Calif.-based giant. They say it will soar nearly 50 per cent this year. And they’re nearly as enthusiastic about Newmont Mining Corp. and Monster Beverage Corp.
Investors, though, should be aware that a list like this is far from foolproof. Analysts’ high hopes are frequently dashed on the stony ground of reality. If the market was truly convinced that Apple was going to soar 50 per cent by year end, it would have bid Apple stock up to nearly that level already.
Still, a list like this can be useful in pointing out stocks with a lot of buzz around their prospects. Just make sure to do your own research before buying any of the names listed here.
Apple Inc. | AAPL-Q | 439.88 | 650 | 47.80% | 2.40% | 50.20% |
Newmont Mining Corp. | NEM-N | 43.36 | 61 | 40.70% | 3.20% | 43.90% |
Monster Beverage Corp. | MNST-Q | 46.71 | 65 | 39.20% | 0.00% | 39.20% |
Allegheny Technologies | ATI-N | 30.29 | 41 | 35.40% | 2.40% | 37.70% |
Pitney Bowes Inc. | PBI-N | 12.15 | 15 | 23.50% | 12.40% | 35.80% |
Newfield Exploration Co. | NFX-N | 28.89 | 39 | 35.00% | 0.00% | 35.00% |
Garmin Ltd. | GRMN-Q | 38.77 | 50 | 29.00% | 4.60% | 33.60% |
Peabody Energy Corp. | BTU-N | 25.82 | 34 | 31.70% | 1.30% | 33.00% |
Apollo Group Inc. | APOL-Q | 20.7 | 27.5 | 32.90% | 0.00% | 32.90% |
GameStop Corp. | GME-N | 23.71 | 30 | 26.50% | 4.20% | 30.80% |
Goodyear Tire & Rubber | GT-Q | 13.87 | 18 | 29.80% | 0.00% | 29.80% |
WPX Energy, Inc. | WPX-N | 14.73 | 19 | 29.00% | 0.00% | 29.00% |
Microsoft Corp. | MSFT-Q | 27.88 | 35 | 25.50% | 3.30% | 28.80% |
CONSOL Energy Inc. | CNX-N | 32.08 | 40.5 | 26.30% | 1.60% | 27.80% |
Coach Inc. | COH-N | 51.21 | 64 | 25.00% | 2.30% | 27.30% |
Micron Technology Inc. | MU-Q | 7.87 | 10 | 27.10% | 0.00% | 27.10% |
Jabil Circuit Inc. | JBL-N | 19.94 | 25 | 25.40% | 1.60% | 27.00% |
Noble Corp. | NE-N | 38.23 | 48 | 25.60% | 1.40% | 26.90% |
Alexion Pharmaceuticals | ALXN-Q | 94.68 | 120 | 26.70% | 0.00% | 26.70% |
Iron Mountain Inc. | IRM-N | 34.29 | 42 | 22.50% | 3.20% | 25.60% |
Windstream Corp. | WIN-Q | 9.65 | 11 | 14.00% | 10.40% | 24.30% |
MetroPCS Communications | PCS-N | 9.71 | 12 | 23.60% | 0.00% | 23.60% |
Capital One Financial | COF-N | 56.32 | 69 | 22.50% | 0.40% | 22.90% |
International Game Tech | IGT-N | 15.12 | 18.2 | 20.40% | 1.90% | 22.20% |
Freeport-McMoRan Copper | FCX-N | 34.87 | 41 | 17.60% | 3.60% | 21.20% |
All currencies U.S. Source: Morningstar Canada