Its not about Hostess and Twinkies
posted on
Nov 21, 2012 01:34PM
We may not make much money, but we sure have a lot of fun!
Stock Research Portal
By the time you read this, you will have been bombarded by the news that Hostess Brands Inc. (which has been in U.S. Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection since January) sought court permission on November 16 to go out of business. This potentially will affect 33 U.S. manufacturing plants, 565 distribution centers, 570 bakery outlet stores, and a large majority of its 18,500 member unionized work force (and likely a large number of its non-unionized work force).
While that is the story that is being told, I don't think it is the more important 'story behind the story'. A story I have yet to see discussed at any length.
The reason given for the decision taken by Hostess Brands by its CEO is that "we do not have the financial resources to weather an extended nationwide strike". Hostess Brands is reported to have annual sales in the order of $2.5 billion.
My view of the 'story behind the story':
You might think not only about the foregoing, but also why the media broadly has not picked up on what may happen in the aftermath of the decision made Friday by Hostess Brands. The New York Times Deal book Blog has picked up on the re-structuring possibilities. You might want to read As Labor Talks Collapse, Hostess Turns Out Lights.
I wrote the foregoing on Saturday morning. Already on Sunday morning I am finding that information on possible bidders is coming forward. See Will Twinkies be reborn through new Mexican ownership?, which in addition to Mexican company Grupo Bimbo mentions American companies Con Agra, Flowers Food, and McKee Foods as possible suitors.
Again, for me the Hostess Brands and Twinkies development is symptomatic of what may come as labour rates in developed countries are forced down by developing country labour rates. I believe that is the real story here, and that we are going to watch that story unfold over the next months and years.
Topical References: Twinkies Maker Hostess to Go Out of Business, from The Fiscal Times, from Reuters, November 16, 2012 - reading time 4 minutes. Also read: