Doug Casey in conversation re: The New Class
posted on
Apr 18, 2012 11:31PM
We may not make much money, but we sure have a lot of fun!
Remember what I said about these pseudo-intellectuals being more concerned with controlling other people than with controlling nature and developing technology? Here's what I wrote back then:
Technology. The New Class is deeply suspicious of technology. Few of them have had any real scientific training, and almost none has had any exposure to engineering, so very few have a practical understanding of technology per se. People naturally fear anything they do not really understand. They want to control scientists and engineers who, they are convinced, do not have the wisdom, which mostly resides in the New Class, to employ their powers appropriately. The New Class thinks that technology mostly leads to bad results. Their tendency is to decrease automotive pollution by decreasing driving 50 percent through punitive regulations rather than to encourage installation of a new device to cut pollution by 99 percent. Since they mistrust mankind, they do not want them to have much power over the environment, hence the technophobia that accompanies the "back to the earth" movement. And that, of course, is another major theme.< /p>
L: Neo-Luddites. It's a bit Kafkaesque going to anti-globalization protests and seeing these anti-capitalists organizing their demonstrations via social networking software on their Apple computers. Looks like you saw the green hysteria rising...
Doug: Well, I didn't see how bad it would get and how it would mutate and metastasize... Like the insanity of deciding that carbon is bad for carbon-based life forms - like us. I didn't see that they'd declare war on the periodic table of elements, with carbon being a major villain. But I did predict the rising religion of "greenism":
Ecology/Environment. Greenism is becoming a new religion, where "ecology" is a deity to whom worshipers must offer sacrifice. Religion offers a pretty good analogy, and not just because it's also historically antitechnology. Greenism could replace traditional religion for a large portion of the population in the decades to come, even though its views are at odds with the Jewish, Christian, and even Muslim doctrines that give mankind direct dominion over the world. I find this an interesting subtheme, if only because I have always been sympathetic with the Nordic and Celtic cultures that prevailed in pre-Roman, pre-Christian Europe. They were probably the most libertarian cultures in the history of the world, with strong emphasis on personal privacy and property rights and a respect for nature. But only their nature-worship aspects seem to be emphasized in New Class circles.
Despite a generally antiscientific bent, the New Class will cite science when convenient, usually out of context. In any event, science takes a backseat to the hysteria that is socially acceptable when it comes to environmental issues. Even the most remote possibilities of disaster are taken seriously and arouse calls for instant government action that are often based on inadequate data, poorly thought through, and often counterproductive. Cost-benefit calculations are rarely done and are imprecise when they are done. Instead, the New Class tends to believe that the ends justify the means, no matter what the means may cost.
I can see now that I was too conservative and understated the problem.
Health and Safety. The New Class believes man incapable of making a rational or informed judgment about what risks he accepts. Like many who enjoy privileged lifestyles, the New Class tends to be afraid of risk or change. As a result, even the normal risks of living are blown out of all proportion. Since the New Class is better educated and more sophisticated than the population at large, it tends to believe it knows what is best for the "masses." The end product, of course, is a busybody mentality, which is only natural, since social workers, politicians, and pundits are really only professional busybodies; their job descriptions are to set standards for others and then make sure those others conform to their standards. And, after all, if "society" is going to pay the costs of an individual's sickness or injury, it follows that society's New Class guardians should ensure that the individual behaves appropriately, regardless of whether or not those who have to obey the rules, and pay taxes for the privilege, like it.
Doug: Yes, but it's not just economic ignorance, it's willful economic ignorance. They think they know how things "should" be... know what path economic development should take for everyone. And they're not only willing but enthusiastically anxious for the state to enforce it. End of discussion.
Economic development. Much emphasis was placed on "jobs" during the 1992 elections, although exactly what that meant wasn't made clear. A process of elimination is helpful. We know jobs in fast-food restaurants aren't socially acceptable, and factory and other repetitive work is behind the power curve. But the world is not yet ready for everyone to be a TV producer, lawyer, lobbyist, consultant, or some other kind of symbolic analyst. What kind of job might the candidates have meant? It's tough to create productive work for people when you do not let the market tell you what it wants. But the New Class will tell the market what it should want. That is called an "industrial policy."
Of course the government can create jobs by hiring people for public works projects, shoring up the country's deteriorating infrastructure. (The paradox of why the government-owned infrastructure is collapsing, but privately owned buildings are well maintained, is never addressed.)
Another alternative brought forward by those who believe in an industrial policy is to make large grants to large companies to employ large numbers of workers. One alternative not likely to get wide attention is the firing of government employees and the elimination of taxes and regulations to get the economy moving. The peer pressure, social opprobrium, and moral approbation - and overt regulations - arising from New Class values result in the fact that people tend to work less hard, take fewer risks, and seek more leisure. Obviously, everyone makes these choices for themselves, but if the Wright brothers had to develop an airplane in today's environment, they likely would have become discouraged before they succeeded.
L: Wow - you sure called that one right. It's as though the Obama administration read your list of things not to do and adopted it as its game plan.
Doug: No crystal ball was required. That government will do not just the wrong thing, but the exact opposite of the right thing, is one of the safest bets any speculator can make. It stems from the New Class' clear fear and loathing of having to compete and win in the free market.
Free markets. Since the manifest bankruptcy of socialist systems around the world, it has become less fashionable or credible to deny the benefits of a free market. Instead the emphasis has changed to "perfecting" the markets through a government-private "partnership" of "national industrial policy," "targeted spending," and other euphemisms for planning, directing, and controlling the economy.
The trouble with the market's "invisible hand" is that it moves too slowly to suit people who want results while they are in office. Although the results may be what the market - that is, most people - wants, the New Class believes the majority of people do not know what is in their best interests. The New Class will grudgingly acknowledge that free markets and capitalism can be "efficient," but then claim they aren't adequately "moral," i.e., in tune with the values of planners. Regulation is likely to increase, not decrease.
L: Okay - I can see that no crystal ball was required for that one. In spite of some deregulation in the Reagan era, the pathology of government is to always increase its power over every level of economic activity, to the detriment of innovation and entrepreneurship.
Doug: Entrepreneurship is the next one:
Entrepreneurialism. Entrepreneurs and businessmen in general are held in low esteem by the New Class. Businessmen employ workers, which leads to the presumption that they also exploit them. They advertise, which means they "induce" people to buy things they don't really "need.'' They make a lot of money, so they are expanding the gap between rich and poor. New Class attitudes toward business are similar to the attitude of European aristocrats toward work in general: it is best left to the lower classes and those who haven't found a way to rise above it. The fact that businessmen are typically "doers" leads the New Class, who see themselves as "thinkers," to look down on them. It's a culture clash, and businessmen are viewed suspiciously, unless they can prove their social value in some way other than just making a profit. Someone who makes a million dollars producing a new razor or a cancer cure is looked upon as if he alone, a nd not all of society, were the beneficiary.
L: Ayn Rand spoke about this in her last speech, when she touched on href="http://sg2.caseyresearch.com/wf/click?upn=flkojQoVnV4U9n9PwF8wibXq-2F8JL1n1-2BeRHxW0SD9QQs6TdJU5eQb9ILJM90YdsEbIr7hPm23qT2bsE68kAQsFXImgAraTj1G4JJFopgCaU-3D_Kpv-2F37B0esXEGpterEOfMCgdd0YUUwtELfttfVdZIdZZppy-2FvihIrspkp7Q8oreqL6Vz5Ivj3V5vsVzJvhVFKLSwHCrgdWovll2vf9JYGwmOy4l30suSnHQ4ukeTcOHI5PHRvTdD0RiTTTLcYwI-2FuCJpDnSHgwtib6yPNhdDqw2ptz9KhGgSyme6hdWyEApn">America that Was we've talked about before. And that relates to the last of set of relevant values I wrote about in '93:
Traditional values. Boy Scout virtues are out and radical chic is in. Nineteenth-century values (courage, perseverance, responsibility, and achievement) are out. John Wayne is unhip; Alan Alda is a more acceptable male role model. Some lip service will be paid to traditional values to appease the silent majority. But these traditional values are pretty much held in contempt by the New Class. "Alternative lifestyles" will likely meet with tacit approval, if not encouragement. That's not to be confused with the get-along-go-along tolerance for, and encouragement of, diversity typical of libertarians. The New Class harbors an active dislike for "middle-class values" and a desire to create a new set of values. In the process it may create the conditions for active class warfare.
L: That reminds me of something I think Nathaniel Brandon once said of those who hold this worldview. They claim the moral high ground and berate us, saying: "You must love everyone - or we'll kill you."
Doug: [Chuckles] That's exactly the sort of New-Class arrogance I was writing about.
L: All good - but that was, as you say, almost 20 years ago. Would you change the list or update it in some way?
Doug: Not really, except to say that the views of these people have not only gotten more extreme, they have become more widely accepted. They're now insinuated throughout society, they're accepted as givens, and have corrupted people's assumptions. So it's rather predictable that personal freedoms are vanishing and the world is moving toward a "kinder and gentler" - to use the moronic Baby Bush's words - version of Orwell's 1984.
L: Okay... Investment implications?
Doug: Well, it's yet another argument in favor of the view that things will have to get worse before they can get better. The next stage of the Greater Depression might change a few things... Fortunately or unfortunately, depending on how you look at these things, that's exactly the direction things are headed. I'd like to invite everyone to come and discuss things like this with us in Florida at the end of this month, but I think our Recovery Reality Check Summit is sold out.
L: We could - as Gordon Liddy used to say - be crass and commercial and mention that we'll produce an audio collection of the event.
[If you will not be attending the Casey Research Recovery Reality Check Summit in Florida, you can still hear every recorded presentation.
L: Any chance of a more positive conversation next week?
Doug: Well, if things getting worse is a step toward things getting better, we've just had a very positive conversation. As you know, I always like to look on the bright side. But on the other hand, I have to say what's on my radar now are more signs of World War III approaching.
L: Okay, Mr. Optimist. I'll just keep singing in the rain.