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Why Inflation is a Big Concern


Goldman Sachs told investors to close out their commodities position recently and Bernanke says inflation isn't a problem. But what if they're wrong?

Watch the video as Neil Cavuto sounds off on the impact of rising inflation on everything we buy and why prices will continue to move up.

Dear Readers,

Gold and silver have once again hit new highs.

In our last letter, I said gold would climb to $1500 if it held above $1470 for the week. On Monday, gold fell below that threshold and thus it did not hit our target of $1500. However, it did climb to new highs and support levels continue to move up.

Not long ago in the recent letter

Silver has also climbed to a new 31-year high, closing at nearly $43. While I believe silver will climb higher, I would use some caution as gold may move higher relative to silver in the near term.

Here are the results from last week's survey, " target="_blank">The Human Metal), new highs often leave the potential forshort term weakness from profit takers.

If you're a buy and hold investor, the next few months would a great time to look at precious metal stocks - especially if we see a correction in commodity prices. Many of these stocks have yet to move with the high prices of both gold and silver, but this will eventually catch up - especially if prices stay high over the summer months.

As a matter of fact, there are many gold and silver producers that are making money hand over fist with these high metal prices and the real value of this increase in earnings has yet to be completely factored into share prices.

While investors often feel a slight disconnect between silver equities and silver prices, many of the big silver names have performed relative to silver prices.

Take a look at this chart:

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When you compare the performance of silver equities such as Silver Wheaton, Coeur d'Alene Mines, and Silver Standard Resources with the iShares Silver Trust (as seen above), you can see that the performance of each stock almost directly reflects silver prices.

Last week silver equities moved down even as silver prices moved up, but I believe this is merely a temporary disconnect. If silver prices hold at these levels or continue to move up, the big name silver equities should catch up. If silver opens strong next week, look at the big silver names such as Silver Wheaton for a few percentage pop opportunity.

I am still looking for a strong surge by the precious metals juniors toward the later end of the year, as speculation in the sector becomes even more bullish.

The most interesting factor in the recent silver rise is the lack of long exposure by the managed money funds such as hedge funds, commodity funds, and other big money speculators. In the last few months, the managed money funds net long position have decreased nearly 10%, while the price of silver has risen over 30%.

That means the rise in silver prices are mainly as a result of the retail investor. Therefore, downside risk is minimized and the bull market train should continue to gain some speed. Why? Managed money funds often employ tremendous leverage. If silver prices were to drop slightly, many of these futures traders would be forced to liquidate to cover their long positions. Then, of course, the good ol' dominoe effect.

Retail investors, on the other hand, rarely use leverage as part of their investment strategy. As such, if silver prices were to experience a near term drop, they would not be forced to liquidate. The more investment demand into silver by retail investors, the less the metal price can be manipulated (

The silver market is small. There are not a lot of silver miners out there. That means big opportunities for some of the smaller producers to catch up with the market as the demand for silver increases. If you haven't already looked at some of these names, start looking. The silver companies mentioned in last year's letters have all doubled in value, if not more. If silver prices hold above $35 for the rest of the year, there's going to be a serious run by many of the lesser known silver miners. There are still bargains out there.

Overall, this week went as predicted. Precious metals moved to new highs and volatility in the markets increased. At this point, I am still waiting on April 27 (

Keep your eye on precious metals. Even as many call for a correction, gold could still climb above $1500 next week and silver to $45. That would be a major milestone for both. We shall see.

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Until next week,

Ivan Lo

Equedia Weekly


Questions?


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Featured News:

target="_blank"> target="_blank">Big Gold

1) The main driver behind rising gold prices over the past decade is:

a) Increased jewelry demand in India
b) Greater industrial uses of the metal
c) Investment demand

Worldwide investment demand for gold totaled 44 million ounces in 2010. Because of the growing demand by investors, prices have been forced upward.

→Five exchanges began trading gold contracts for the first time in 2010, and three more introduced mini contracts, collectively the largest number launched since the early '80s. There are now 24 gold vending machines in seven countries, with three more countries adding machines this year. Households in developing countries are now moving away from gold jewelry and buying coins and bars for their savings. I could go on, but suffice it to say that investment demand will continue to be very strong.

2) True or false: recovery from gold scrap was lower in 2010 than 2009.

Scrap rose three consecutive years in a row - until last year. Gold supply from scrap fell 2.1%, to 42.2 million ounces.

→This is significant because gold prices were higher, which would normally increase the amount of scrap coming to market. One of the primary reasons scrap dropped is because investors are holding on to their metal, reportedly because they believe prices are headed higher. Isn't that one reason you're holding on to your bullion?

3) There are many reasons investors have been buying gold over the past 10 years, but what is the #1 reason?

a) Safe-haven asset

b) Gold coins and bars have become more intricate, widespread, and beautiful

c) Supply and demand imbalance

Global fears increasingly led investors to purchase large volumes of gold in 2010 for safe-haven purposes, despite record price levels.

→High levels of investment buying are expected to continue in 2011 because virtually none of the economic, political, and monetary concerns have been resolved.

If you got all three answers correct, you're an investor who understands the basic reasons for owning gold and that those reasons are still in play.

Now let's step it up a little...

target="_blank">> Oil Hits 32-Month High As Unrest Persists in the Middle East

target="_blank">> Gold Mania: Are We There Yet?

target="_blank">Capstone Reports High Grade Intercepts at Cozamin Mine in Step Out and Infill Drilling - Click to Read

Broker Triple Play: What the Brokers are Buying

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Ever wonder what the brokers are buying and selling?

With a new year upon us, Kevin Matras was interested to see what the brokers were most interested in and what their best picks were.

Watch the video as Kevin Matras goes over a screening strategy used to see what the brokers are buying.


More target="_blank">> Momentum Stock Picks - April 14, 2011

target="_blank">> Value Stock Picks - April 12, 2011

target="_blank">Galway Intersects 76.0 Meters of 3.3 Grams per Tonne Gold and Provides an Update on Progress to Date - click to read

Technical Trading with Harry Boxer
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Harry has more than 40 years of Wall Street investment and technical analysis experience, including eight years on Wall Street as chief technical analyst with three brokerage firms.

Watch the video as he walks you through his

technical analysis on a whole bunch of stocks he thinks you should be watching from last week. To see more videos, target="_blank">Click Here to receive a Free 15-Day Trial to Harry Boxer's Real-Time Technical Trading Diary for Equedia members.

Featured BNN Clip:

target="_blank">:
target="_blank"> target="_blank">profile page, click on the target="_blank">online calendar from anywhere in the world. In the near future, we will be working with public companies to add their events to the calendar so that shareholders will never miss an important event again. So call your companies and get them to participate!

Tagging companies to videos and images: Did you know that all of your videos and images can be tagged to public companies? Do you have a video about

Buy, Sell, and Hold Ratings: Once you log in, you can submit your buy, sell and hold ratings on the ratings tab so that other shareholders can see what YOU think. You may also access your associates' ratings and see what they think of the shares you hold.
Blog feed subscriptions: Once you add someone as an associate, you will have access to all of their blog posts through your blog feeds. Simply go to your "blog feeds" tab once you log in!

Search function: By far one of the most overlooked but important functions on Equedia. Using the top right hand corner search function, you can find and add any corporations, media users, or investors to your network.

Markets Tab: Under any corporate profile, you will find

There are many more useful features on Equedia.com but we think its better if you experience them for yourself. The more associates you have, the more useful Equedia will become for you. So use the new

Cautionary Note to U.S. Investors Concerning Estimates of Inferred Resources

This presentation uses the term "Inferred Resources". U.S. investors are advised that while this term is recognized and required by Canadian regulations, the Securities and Exchange Commission does not recognize it. "Inferred Resources" have a great amount of uncertainty as to their existence, and great uncertainty as to their economic and legal feasibility. It cannot be assumed that all or any part of an Inferred Resource will ever be upgraded to a higher category. Under Canadian rules, estimates of "Inferred Resources" may not form the basis of feasibility or other economic studies. U.S. investors are also cautioned not to assume that all or any part of an "Inferred Mineral Resource" exists, or is economically or legally mineable.


In This Issue
NovaGold Completes Preliminary Economic Assessment for Ambler Project
Can You Pass the 2011 Gold Quiz?
Capstone Reports High Grade Intercepts at Cozamin Mine in Step Out and Infill Drilling
Screen of the Week: What the Brokers are Buying
Galway Intersects 76.0 Meters of 3.3 Grams per Tonne Gold
Technical Trading with Harry Boxer
Featured BNN Clip: A Single Securities Regulator for Canada?
Upload Your Videos
Think Broadly for Commodity Diversification
Equedia Tips- Markets Tab
Additional Features
Forward-Looking Statements
This Week's Most Wanted
Equedia Watch: Companies Under Evalualtion
Rants and Raves - Unrated, Uncut, and Unedited

Featured Reports

target="_blank">The Equedia Report: The Hidden Producer

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target="_blank">Previous Issues

This Week's Most Wanted

The Stock Market's Most Interesting Videos That You Should Watch

1. target="_blank">High Priority Targets: The Next Big Alaskan Play
3. target="_blank">Israel on its Way to Becoming a World Oil Power
5.
target="_blank">How to Invest in Commodities
7. target="_blank"> Investing in Cyclical Sectors
9. target="_blank"> Israel a New Oil Power?
11.
12. target="_blank">Haverty Says Google Could Top $700 on Dividend, Buyback

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Companies Under Evaluation This Past Week

target="_blank">Arsenal Energy

target="_blank">Questerre Energy

target="_blank">Ecometals

target="_blank">ECU Silver Mining

target="_blank">Black Iron Inc

target="_blank">Rodinia Oil

target="_blank">Lundin Mining

target="_blank">Golden Queen Mining
target="_blank">Josephine Mining

C

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Rants and Raves

Inside the mind of Equedia's editor - unrated, uncut, and unedited

Is there such a thing as freedom? Its seems nowadays, everything we do or say is monitered.

No matter where you go, there are cameras. No matter what you say, there's something that can record you.

I am not trying to sound like an 80 year old nut with a shotgun screaming its the end of the world, but seriously, even as I type this, someone can monitor my actions.

What scares me even more is our reliance to computer data. Heck, I am lost without my emails or access to the Internet. But the fact is, everything that we are as a society can be erased with the simple push of a button. Your bank account? Takes someone one second to erase. Just asked those who invested with Lehman Brothers.

Imagine if a hacker decidede he wanted to wipe out all of a bank's records? How would they find your money then?

So all of this talk about fiat currencies crashing is actually becoming more real everyday. Theres a reason why gold and silver have risen to these new highs.

I am not a gold bull. I am simply a fiat currency bear. When the Fed can lend as much money as they want to whoever they want, without anyone knowing how much money they actually have to lend, that scares me. If you think the governments of the world are the ones in control, think again.

Don't forget what Rothschild said, "Who controls the issuance of money controls the government!"

"I care not what puppet is placed on the throne of England to rule the Empire. The man who controls Britain's money supply controls the British Empire and I control the British money supply." - Nathan Rothschild


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