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Message: GOING FORWARD >>

Japan - Going Forward

In yesterday's e-mail I said I am increasingly focusing on what might be some of the 'specifics' of the economic consequences of the Japanese earthquake in both the near and longer term, and that I would include my current thoughts in today's e-mail. Here they are:

· nuclear power issues are obviously going to be debated going forward, not only Japan but broadly across many countries. This may have a long-term impact on uranium prices on the downside, although I think the bigger issue is more likely to be cost on the nuclear reactor build side;

· Japan will almost certainly face escalated national debt levels, which already are about two times Japanese GDP;

· Japanese banks may face escalated loan defaults and savings withdrawals;

· Japan's oil and natural gas imports are likely to increase for the foreseeable future;

· Japan will face manufacturing plant shut-downs and slow-downs during the rebuild period and until rolling electrical blackouts are a thing of the past;

· the Japanese populace will face a reduced standard of living until the electrical blackouts cease, and until food and water supply 'normalcy' are restored or largely restored;

· some production may move permanently from Japan, to the benefit of other developed and developing countries;

· if what has happened and is happening in Japan results in a slowdown of the world economy, base metal prices may be negatively affected. If it doesn't, base metal prices might escalate from here;

· Japan may be forced into an increased dependency on food imports, which could push food prices higher than they otherwise would be, with in turn could have other global 'social unrest' implications;

· the U.S. Fed may be forced to continue to buy U.S. Treasuries after June of this year, the time frame it currently is committed to. U.S. National debt issues are likely to exacerbate further;

· heavy equipment companies such as Caterpillar are likely to see positive developments from the Japanese situation; and,

· overall, I think risk to what I see as the fragile macro-economic and individual country (particularly the U.S. and EuroZone countries) has escalated on the negative side.

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The following table summarizes the companies in Stock Research Portal's Company Universe who yesterday issued Press Releases and whose shares increased in price from the previous day's close by more than Cdn$0.05, more than 10%, and whose share volumes yesterday exceeded their trailing 3 month average trading volume. You can research each of these companies by clicking on the company name in the table.


CompanySymbolSub-IndustryClosing Price*Price Change*% Price Change*% Vol / 3 Mths Avg*
target="_blank">Minera Andes Inc.
OTCBB:MNEA.F, DB:NKP, TSX:MAI
Base Metals
2.69
0.44
19.6 271.2
target="_blank">VMS Ventures Inc.
DB:R4E, TSXV:VMS
Base Metals
0.77
0.10
14.9 118.9

* Yesterday's data, or latest trading day's data, as applicable
Yesterday's Insider Trade Highlights

The following table summarizes the companies in Stock Research Portal's Company Universe for who our system yesterday reported insiders who filed reports indicating they had acquired shares through 'purchase' transactions. You can research each of these companies by clicking on the company name in the table.

Company NameSymbolSub-Industry
target="_blank">BonTerra Resources Inc.
TSXV:BTR, DB:9BR
Gold
target="_blank">Centerra Gold Inc.
TSX:CG, DB:GOU
Gold
target="_blank">Pembina Pipeline Corporation
TSX:PPL, DB:P5P
Income Trust, Service (Pipeline)
target="_blank">Silver Quest Resources Ltd.
TSXV:SQI, DB:RGC1
Silver
target="_blank">Weststar Resources Corp.
TSXV:WER, DB:HN3N, BST:HN3N
Coal - Met
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