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Message: Re: US China Japan symposium (economy currency politics military)

China to continue reform of exchange rate process

(Xinhua)
Updated: 2009-04-16 18:10

China said Thursday it had taken note of a US report stating that the Chinese government did not manipulate the exchange rate of the yuan.

( comment they're are 2 articles in today's Wall Street Journal to that effect )

"We will continue reform of the renminbi exchange rate mechanism," Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Jiang Yu told a regular press conference. She was responding to a question concerning the US statement.

The US government said Wednesday that no major trading partner had been found to be manipulating its exchange rate to gain an unfair trade advantage.

Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner made the remarks in a statement accompanying the release of the department's semi-annual "Report to Congress on International Economic and Exchange Rate Policies."

The report came after Geithner was reported to have said, during his Senate confirmation hearings earlier this year, that US President Barack Obama believed China was manipulating its currency.

Jiang Yu said that China would strive to keep the rate basically stable at a reasonable and balanced level. Such a policy was in the interest of not only China, but also the world economy, she noted.

As to the issue of China buying US treasury bonds, Jiang said that the management of China's foreign exchange reserves were always conducted according to the principle of guaranteeing the "safety, liquidity and good value" of its foreign exchange reserves and diversifying the investment portfolio.

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Yuan edges into place as international trade currency

(Xinhua)
Updated: 2009-04-16 14:11

Buyers and sellers at the 105th Canton Fair in south China's Guangdong province are no longer restricted to using the US dollar to settle their deals. This year they can also use the yuan, China's currency.

Last week, the State Council (Cabinet) gave the greenlight to five major trade cities -- Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Zhuhai and Dongguan -- to use the yuan, also known as Renminbi, as an option to settle international trade deals.

Last December, pilot programs were announced to allow the country's two economic powerhouses, Guangdong Province and the Yangtze River Delta (including Shanghai), to use the yuan to settle trade deals with the two special administrative regions of Hong Kong and Macao.

A similar arrangement has been proposed for exporters in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region and Yunnan Province in south China, which will be allowed to use the yuan to settle trade with ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations) members starting this year. Details of that program are yet to be disclosed.

China has also been arranging currency swaps with trading partners to bypass the US dollars in trade settlements. Since mid-December, the Chinese mainland has signed currency swap contracts worth 650 billion yuan ($95.6 billion) with central banks in Hong Kong, the Republic of Korea, Malaysia, Belarus, Indonesia and Argentina.

These swap accords allow other overseas central banks to sell yuan to local importers who want to buy Chinese goods.

It is believed these moves will benefit manufacturers and traders at home and abroad by reducing their exposure to exchange-rate volatility, increasing liquidity in foreign trade and reducing consumer burdens.

At the Canton Fair, which runs from April 15 to May 7 in Guangzhou, the most immediate effect of the trial use of Renminbi will be lower exchange-rate risks.

Geng Wei, general manager of Shanghai Forever Import and Export Co., Ltd., which is exhibiting at the fair, said the company was "willing to settle trade in yuan", as it suffered from exchange-rate fluctuations in the US dollar and euro last year.

Cui Xiaolong, general manager of Honny Power based in Dongguan, Guangdong, said that in the second half of last year when exchange rates fluctuated wildly, a deal with a partner in South Africa, which was agreed in dollars, was delayed for two months. "The postponement could have been avoided if yuan were used as the settlement currency," Cui said.

Trade partners of Chinese enterprises would also benefit from greater use of yuan, said Zhao Jinping, a senior researcher with the Development Research Center of the State Council.

The regional acceptance of yuan would cut transaction costs for trade deals with non-USdollar countries and regions, since these deals bypassed the US dollar, said Zhao.

Datuk Yong Ah Pwi, head of Malaysia-China Chamber of Commerce, who attended the Canton Fair, said Malaysian companies pinned great hopes on the use of the yuan with Chinese trading partners.

He said annual bilateral trade between Malaysia and China had exceeded 50 billion US dollars. Expanding use of Renminbi in trade settlement between the two economies, which were mutually complementary in nature, would allow manufacturers from both sides to reduce costs and explore new trade areas.

Professor Xiao Yao, of the research center of foreign trade and international economic cooperation under the Guangzhou-based Guangdong University of Foreign Studies, said, "Along with future world economic recovery, developed nations are bound to recall a large amount of capital from emerging markets. Then China will have to depend on itself to maintain sufficient fluidity.

"The current acceleration of the yuan's international acceptance will no doubt reduce burdens on China," Xiao predicted.

However, many traders at the Canton Fair reckoned it would take years to expand the yuan's use.

Denis Keet, general manager of foreign trade division of Indonesian firm Dyll, said use of the US dollar for trade settlement was a habit that was difficult to abandon.

He suggested that Chinese traders need to demonstrate the advantages of using the yuan.

PERSONAL COMMENT .:

China won't need a international agreement in order to transform the international role of the US dollar. The yuan will slowly but surely take an increasing role on international monetary market starting in asia . The relative strenght of China's economy as a lender to the US and other emerging and developping countries has put China at a definitive advantage .

It's curency swaps with developping countries will help them slow down the yuan evaluation wich is important for their exports and will buy them time to build their interior demand ,wich is the key for them in order to decouple their economy from the US and it's endanger currency, and it will improve their relation with poorer countries .

China along with it's Indian neighbor will be the new world power house before the end of the next decade , and Canada will have to realise this if it intends to protect it's economy from falling along with america's economy.

It won't be long before the US dollar supremacy starts fading away and it will go along with the US economy losing it's role as world leader .

Let's hope their military supremacy won't be used as a threat when comes the time to act with more humbleness .






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