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posted on Feb 18, 2009 03:45PM














The March Canadian Dollar closed higher due to short covering on Wednesday as it consolidated some of Tuesday's decline.

The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends Tuesday's decline, January's low crossing at 78.30 is the next downside target. Closes above last Monday's high crossing at 82.48 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 80.76. Second resistance is last Monday's high crossing at 82.48. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 78.88. Second support is January's low crossing at 78.30.

The March Japanese Yen closed sharply lower on Wednesday as it extended Tuesday's decline. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends this week's decline, January's low crossing at .10567 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at .11074 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at .10952. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at .11074.

First support is today's low crossing at .10647. Second support is January's low crossing at .10567.

PRECIOUS METALS



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March coffee closed lower on Wednesday as it extends this month's decline. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term.

If March extends this week's decline, January's low crossing at 10.605 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 11.772 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted.

March cocoa closed lower on Wednesday as it consolidates below the 20-day moving average crossing at 27.20. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below last Thursday's low crossing at 25.99 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted.

March sugar closed lower on Wednesday and below the 20-day moving average crossing at 12.87 confirming that a short-term top has been posted. The low-range close set the stage for a steady to lower opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 12.39 is the next downside target. Closes above last week's high crossing at 13.37 are needed to renew the rally off last October's low.

March cotton posted an inside day with a higher close on Wednesday as it consolidated some of this month's decline. The mid- range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends this month's decline, December's low crossing at 41.31 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 48.41 are needed to confirm that a bottom has been posted.

GRAINS



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March Corn closed unchanged at 3.49 1/4.

March corn closed unchanged on Wednesday as it consolidates below the 62% retracement level of the December-January rally crossing at 3.52 3/4. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends this year's decline, the 75% retracement level of the December-January rally crossing at 3.36 1/2 is the next downside target. Closes above last Monday's high crossing at

3.83 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is Tuesday's gap crossing at 3.63. Second resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 365 3/4. First support is today's low crossing at 3.46 1/2. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the December-January rally crossing at 3.36 1/2.

March wheat closed down 4 3/4-cents at 5.10 3/4.

March wheat closed lower on Wednesday and below the 75% retracement level of the December-January rally crossing at 5.14 1/2. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends this week's decline, the 87% retracement level crossing at 4.92 3/4 is the next downside target. Closes above last Monday's high crossing at 5.77 are needed confirm that a short-term low has been posted.

March Kansas City Wheat closed down 4 1/4-cent at 5.46 1/2.

Kansas City Wheat closed lower on Wednesday as it extended yesterday's breakout below the 62% retracement level of the December-January rally crossing at 5.65 1/2. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Thursday.

Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends this week's decline, the 75% retracement level of the December-January rally crossing at 5.43 1/4 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 5.90 1/2 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted.

March Minneapolis wheat closed down a 1/2-cent at 6.20.

March Minneapolis wheat closed fractionally lower on Wednesday and tested the 50% retracement level of the December- January rally crossing at 6.17 1/2. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends this week's decline, the 62% retracement level crossing at 6.01 1/4 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 6.48 3/4 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted.

SOYBEAN COMPLEX

March soybeans closed down 15 1/2-cents at 8.87 1/2.

March soybeans closed lower on Wednesday as it extended yesterday's breakout below the 50% retracement level of the December-January rally crossing at 9.10 1/4. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Thursday.

Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends this week's decline, gap support crossing at 8.73 is the next downside target. Closes above Tuesday's gap crossing at 9.55 would temper the near-term bearish outlook. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 9.74 1/4 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted.

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